1. Game Overview
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The New York Knicks (7–4) are playing the Miami Heat (7–5) on November 14, 2025, at Madison Square Garden.
The game is available on Amazon Prime Video
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According to Fox Sports, the Knicks are 6.5-point favorites for the game.
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The over/under (total expected combined score) for the game is 239.5 points.
2. Picks & Prediction (According to Fox Sports)
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Against the spread (ATS) pick: Heat (+6.5) — meaning Fox thinks Miami might cover the 6.5-point underdog line.
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Over/Under pick: Over 239.5 — they expect a high-scoring game.
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Score prediction: Knicks 122 – Heat 118.
3. Why These Predictions?
Fox Sports gives a few reasons for their picks:
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Both teams tend to play high-scoring games, which supports the “Over.”
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On average, Knicks + Heat combine for 245.3 points per game, which is more than the 239.5 over/under line.
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The Knicks’ average score (120.5) is very close to how many points the Heat give up (120.7), so scoring should match their predictions.
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Regarding the spread: the Heat have had some success as underdogs, according to Fox’s data.
4. Team Trends & Key Players
For the Knicks:
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They are 7–4 against the spread this season.
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They score 120.5 points per game, which is strong.
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Karl-Anthony Towns is a big piece: 20.2 PPG, 12.6 rebounds per game.
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Jalen Brunson: 28 PPG, 6.5 assists on average.
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Mikal Bridges: 15.6 PPG, 4.5 boards, 4.9 assists per game.
For the Heat:
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They average 124.8 points per game, which is very high.
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Against the spread, the Heat are 8–3–1.
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Norman Powell is their top scorer: ~24.8 PPG.
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Andrew Wiggins: 17.8 PPG.
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. is also contributing: 17 points, 7.2 rebounds, 5.1 assists on average.
5. My Thoughts: Is the Prediction Reasonable?
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The Over 239.5 seems quite possible. Both teams score a lot, and their combined averages support Fox’s pick.
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Picking the Heat +6.5 is interesting. While the Knicks may be the stronger team on paper, Fox seems to believe that Miami has enough firepower to stay within 6.5 points.
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The predicted final score (122–118) feels realistic for a high-scoring game with a close margin.
6. Possible Risks / Things That Could Change the Game
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Injuries or rest: If any key players for either team are injured or rested, that could swing the game.
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Defense: Even though both teams score a lot, defensive plays (like big stops or turnovers) could pull the actual total down.
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Pace: If one team slows the game pace, fewer possessions may mean fewer total points than expected.
Conclusion
Based on Fox Sports’ data and analysis:
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They lean toward a Knicks win, but they don’t rule out a tight game — that’s why they pick Heat +6.5.
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They expect a high-scoring game and go with the Over 239.5.
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Their score prediction (122–118) shows they see the Knicks winning, but just by a little.
If you like betting or just enjoy predicting basketball games, these are smart picks to watch. But always remember: predictions are just educated guesses — the game can go any way.